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The Decline of Alaskan Snow Crabs: What You Need to Know

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Chapter 1: The Snow Crab Crisis

The days of indulging in all-you-can-eat snow crabs at restaurants may soon be over.

Snow crab population decline

As someone raised in the Midwest, I never truly acquired a taste for crab. My limited exposure to imitation crab at local sushi joints might have contributed to this. However, it seems this lack of interest was fortuitous, as the widespread enjoyment of snow crab is rapidly fading. Farewell to endless crab legs at Red Lobster; it appears we hardly appreciated them.

The Arctic, like the rest of the globe, is experiencing rising temperatures, significantly affecting various marine life. On October 13, 2022, the Alaska Department of Fish and Game made a historic decision to cancel the winter snow crab season in the Bering Sea due to a dramatic decrease in their numbers. An astonishing one billion snow crabs have disappeared, marking a staggering 90% decline in their population.

What led to this sharp decline? Can we pinpoint the causes, and is there a remedy?

Section 1.1: Understanding the Decline

This is not a sudden occurrence; the decline in crab populations has been ongoing. Since 2018, snow crab numbers in Alaska have plummeted by 83%. In 2021, the state's harvest limit was set at 5.6 million pounds, the lowest figure in over four decades.

The Alaska Department of Fish and Game (ADF&G) and the National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS) regularly assess the populations of snow crabs and king crabs by analyzing trawl samples. Unfortunately, this year, the observed population levels were insufficient to justify a fishing season, translating to an estimated loss of $280 million for the state's fishing industry.

A 2021 survey revealed a shocking 99% decrease in the number of immature female crabs. While mature crab numbers also fell, the loss of future generations is particularly alarming.

Section 1.2: Theories Behind the Disappearance

So, where have all the crabs gone? The short answer is that the exact cause is still uncertain, but several theories exist.

  1. Migration: Warmer waters might have driven the crabs further north in search of cooler environments. However, such migration alone cannot account for a 90% population drop.
  2. Disease: The rise in water temperature could facilitate disease transmission, yet no diseased crabs have been identified, making this theory less credible.
  3. Warmer Water: Elevated water temperatures pose multiple threats to crabs:
    • Marine species often rely on temperature cues for behaviors like migration and reproduction. The absence of prey for juvenile crabs may lead to starvation.
    • Certain predators, like cod, thrive in warmer waters, potentially jeopardizing juvenile crabs.
    • Increased ocean temperatures lead to higher carbon dioxide absorption, raising water acidity and hindering crabs' shell development.

These factors likely combine to create a catastrophic scenario for Alaskan crabs, exacerbated by last year's severe heat wave, which resulted in widespread marine life loss along the western U.S. coast.

Keep in mind that crabs, being cold-blooded, cannot self-regulate their body temperature, making them vulnerable to rising ocean temperatures.

Chapter 2: The Future of Snow Crabs

With crab fishing operations halted this year, will this decision have any impact?

Short answer: likely not. This crisis isn't merely due to overfishing; it stems from environmental changes that have rendered the Bering Sea inhospitable for crabs. Surviving crabs must seek new habitats with sufficient food, cooler temperatures, and protection from predators. The Bering Sea may no longer offer such conditions, potentially ending crab fishing in the region.

While snow crabs have traditionally been a more affordable option than king crabs, this dynamic is likely to shift as fishing bans lead to diminished availability. Snow crabs inhabit only the Bering Sea and Nova Scotia, meaning Nova Scotian crabs may become the sole options for consumers.

Even if snow crab populations begin to recover in the Bering Sea, they will require significant time to reach sustainable levels. This issue is not a simple case of overharvesting; it represents a consistent decline exceeding 50% annually for several years.

It's probable that the government may reopen crab fishing next year, but the harvests will likely continue to dwindle until the population is no longer viable for fishing.

Crab legs becoming increasingly rare

In a capitalist society, we often perceive changes in rarity through pricing. When a product becomes scarce, its price tends to rise. Consequently, the price of snow crab is expected to increase.

However, this price hike masks the deeper tragedy of the situation. The issue isn't merely about reduced harvests or fewer fishermen; it's about the actual decline in the number of these creatures, placing their existence in the Bering Sea at risk of extinction.

This reflects the broader consequences of climate change. While advocating for stronger environmental policies and sustainable energy solutions is essential, it's critical to recognize that the damage from previous emissions cannot be reversed in the near term.

More stories like this are likely to emerge.

Enjoyed the article? Share your thoughts on Twitter and tag me @swestreich.

Read more from Sam Westreich, PhD, and thousands of other writers on Medium. Your membership directly supports this work.

In this insightful video, a marine biologist sheds light on the alarming disappearance of snow crabs, exploring the factors contributing to this crisis.

This video discusses the reasons behind the dramatic decline of billions of snow crabs in the Bering Sea, highlighting the critical environmental changes at play.

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